Monday, November 9, 2026

First-Time Home Buyer Share Inches Up to 22%, Median Age Remains at Record High of 40

First-Time Home Buyer Share Inches Up to 22%, Median Age Remains at Record High of 40: First-time home buyers accounted for 22% of purchases in 2026, up slightly from a record low, while their median age remained at a record-high 40. NAR’s 2026 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers also found a record 10% of first-time buyers paid all cash, highlighting the growing role of inheritances and generational wealth in homeownership.

Thursday, November 5, 2026

What the Silver Tsunami Means if You’re Planning To Sell

 

What the Silver Tsunami Means if You’re Planning To Sell




If you’re following the housing market, you may have heard the term “silver tsunami” lately. It's the idea that millions of homes owned by older Americans could come onto the market as more homeowners reach retirement age and make their next move.

And when you hear a phrase like that, it's easy to picture a flood of houses hitting the market all at once. But that picture doesn't match the data.

This isn't expected to happen overnight. 

And if you're planning to sell, it's not a reason to put your plans on hold. Let's look at what the research actually says.

The Silver Tsunami Will Be More of a Gradual Shift

According to Realtor.com, about 13.9 million homes owned by older Americans are expected to change hands by 2036. Sure, that's a big number. But these homes aren't all expected to come onto the market at once.

The projections show this happening gradually over the next decade, with roughly 1.3 to 1.5 million homes changing hands each year (see graph below):

a blue graph with white text

Rather than a sudden wave of houses flooding the market, this is a gradual shift as longtime homeowners make decisions about where and how they want to live.

The term silver tsunami makes for a dramatic headline, but the actual data tells a much less dramatic story. And there’s another reason these homes won’t overwhelm the market.

The Market Has Room for More Homes

After the 2008 housing crash, builders significantly slowed construction. And for years afterward, they didn't build enough homes to keep up with demand. That led to a housing shortage we're still dealing with today.

And just how big a gap are we talking about? Estimates vary, but many experts say the U.S. is still millions of homes short. For example, a recent report from the White House Council of Economic Advisers explains:

“If homebuilding and the growth of the single-family housing stock had continued at their historical pace instead of falling dramatically after 2008, there would be 10 million or more additional single-family homes today.”

As more longtime homeowners sell, those homes will help a gap that’s already there. But they won’t push us over the edge. That’s because, at the same time, more households are expected to form in the decade ahead, and they’ll need homes, too. 

So, more homes becoming available over time isn't automatically a bad thing. It can give buyers more options and help create a more balanced housing market moving forward.

What Actually Matters When You Sell

Here's the takeaway if you're thinking about selling your house. The silver tsunami isn't something you need to plan your move around. What's happening in your local market is far more important than a national projection about the next decade.

That's because real estate is local. Some markets have more homes for sale than others. Some are seeing houses sell relatively quickly, while others are taking longer.

And those are the conditions that matter when you're deciding how to price, prepare, and market your house.

For example, an agent who knows your area can help you understand:

  • How many homes are for sale nearby. This tells you how much choice buyers have and how your house will compare.

  • What similar houses are actually selling for. That's one of the most important factors in setting a competitive asking price.

  • What buyers are looking for right now. Knowing which features and improvements matter most can help your house make a strong first impression.

And that's something you can act on today, regardless of what happens with the silver tsunami over the next decade.

The right strategy starts with understanding your local market and making decisions based on what's happening there, not what a dramatic national headline suggests might happen years from now.

Bottom Line

The silver tsunami may sound like a major wave of homes coming onto the market, but the research points to a gradual shift over the next decade, not a sudden flood of listings.

If you're thinking about selling, don't let that headline make you second-guess your plans. Let's talk about what's happening in our local market.

Wednesday, November 4, 2026

What Experts Forecast for Mortgage Rates and Home Prices in 2027

 

What Experts Forecast for Mortgage Rates and Home Prices in 2027




When it comes to housing, two of the biggest questions on everyone’s mind right now are:

  1. What’s next for mortgage rates?

  2. Where will home prices go from here?

And if you’re weighing whether to move in the next few months or wait until 2027, here’s what you should know.

When experts look ahead to 2027, they see a steady housing market. No wild swings. No big surprises. Just a calmer, more balanced market.

And steady makes planning a whole lot easier. Let’s break it down.

Rates Are Expected To Settle into a Steady Range

Lots of people are holding out for lower rates. But the latest forecasts from Fannie Mae, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), and Wells Fargo show rates holding fairly flat through 2027 (see graph below):

a graph of a graph showing the number of the same time

Lenders see it the same way. In a recent survey from HousingWire, 70% of mortgage executives said they expect rates to be around 7.5% or higher six months from now (see graph below):

a graph of percentages and numbers

And if you’re wondering why, the answer is fairly simple. Chen Zhao, Head of Economics Research at Redfin, says:

“Until the underlying economic fundamentals—everything from oil prices to AI–that are keeping rates high change, mortgage rates are unlikely to fall significantly.”

So what does that mean for you? Instead of trying to guess where rates go next, focus on what you can control. Even if rates don’t budge, there are still ways to get the best rate possible. When you talk with your lender, ask about:

  • Your credit score. Even a small bump in your score could help lower your rate.

  • Different loan types. Some programs offer lower rates or smaller down payments than you might expect.

  • Buying down your rate. Paying a little more upfront (called “points”) can lower your rate and your monthly payment.

That way, you’ll know exactly where you stand and what a comfortable monthly payment looks like for you. 

Prices Should Keep Climbing, Just More Slowly

But what about prices? Here’s where steady really works in your favor. 

Experts don’t see a home price drop coming. On average, forecasts from Fannie Mae, MBA, and Wells Fargo show prices rising about 1% to 1.5% a year through 2027 (see graph below):

a graph of a number of green squares

In plain terms, in most places prices are still going up, just not as fast. For sellers, that means your home should hold onto its value. For buyers, slower growth gives you a little more breathing room. Just don’t count on prices getting cheaper while you wait.

But keep in mind, these are national forecasts. Prices can look very different from one area to the next, so what matters most is what’s happening where you live.

The Best Time To Move Is When It Fits Your Life

When the market is steady, you don’t have to try to time it perfectly. There’s no big swing to wait out.

That puts the focus back on you. Maybe you need more space for a growing family. Maybe you’re ready for less upkeep. A steady market makes it easier to plan for either one.

Bottom Line

If you’re asking yourself should you move now or wait? You should know experts see a steady market through 2027, with rates holding near today’s levels and prices rising slowly. 

So, rather than waiting for a big shift that may not come, let’s run the numbers on what a move looks like at today’s rates and prices, so you can decide based on your goals instead of the headlines.

Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Home Prices Increased in 78% of Metro Areas in Third Quarter of 2026

Home Prices Increased in 78% of Metro Areas in Third Quarter of 2026: Home prices increased in 78% of U.S. metro areas during the third quarter of 2026, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. The national median single-family existing-home price rose 1.7% year-over-year to $432,900. Despite continued price growth, housing affordability remains a challenge, with mortgage payments rising for both typical households and first-time buyers.

Thursday, October 29, 2026

Who’s Buying Homes with Cash Right Now?

 

Who’s Buying Homes with Cash Right Now?




Ryan Serhant, CEO of SERHANT, says there isn’t just 1 housing market right now. There are really 4: cash buyers, buyers who need a mortgage, homeowners with low mortgage rates, and builders.

Today, let’s zoom in on the 1st group – cash buyers.

According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), 27% of homes sold in September were bought with all cash. That’s more than 1 in 4 buyers. And that’s a pretty big number, especially when so many people are struggling with affordability.

So where is all that cash coming from? When you hear a number like that, it's easy to picture wealthy investors buying up houses left and right. But that’s not necessarily the case. Some of those cash buyers are actually homeowners who've built up enough equity to buy their next home outright.

Here's what you should know about who's paying cash and what that really means for the market.

Who’s Paying Cash?

Cash buyers tend to fall into a few groups, according to NAR:

  • Homeowners who sold a house and are using that money to buy their next one

  • People buying a 2nd home

  • Investors

So, it’s not all those big investors social media talks about. That 1st group may include people a lot more like you. Here’s how. According to Cotality, the average homeowner with a mortgage has about $310,000 in equity.

That’s a big deal right now. Many homeowners feel stuck because they don’t want to give up the low mortgage rate they have today. But once they learn they may have enough equity to move and pay cash for their next home, today’s rates don’t matter nearly as much. Because buying in all cash means…

  • No monthly mortgage payment

  • No need to borrow at today’s mortgage rates

  • No loan approval process, so you may be able to close faster

And even if the equity won’t cover the whole purchase, putting more of it toward the next home means borrowing less. That can mean a smaller monthly payment, too.

But cash buyers like this are more common in some places than others. And how big of a segment of your local market this is, is going to depend on where you live.

For example, Realtor.com data shows cash buyers made up almost 47% of sales in Mississippi and 46% in Montana earlier this year (see map below).

Where does your state fall?

a map of the united states

According to Realtor.com, the states with the most cash buyers reflect “a mix of affordability, wealth and buyer demographics.” Think places with lower home prices, or lots of retirees and 2nd-home buyers.

So, depending on where you live, you may see a lot more (or a lot fewer) cash buyers than the national number suggests. An agent who knows your area can tell you who’s actually buying near you.

Most Buyers Are Still Using a Mortgage

And if all of this has you thinking everyone’s paying cash, they’re not. If you’re planning to buy and need a mortgage, you’re actually in the majority.

Based on NAR’s numbers, nearly 3 out of 4 home purchases still involve financing. And for homes priced between $200,000 and $750,000, only about 1 in 5 sold for cash, according to Realtor.com (see graph below):

a graph of green bars

That means most people buying in that price range are financing their purchase, too. So, there’s no need to assume you’re at a disadvantage just because you’re using a loan.

Cash Buyers and Your Move

So, what does all this mean for you? Maybe more than you think.

If you already own a house, you may have enough equity to make your next move more affordable than you realize. And if you're buying with a mortgage, remember, you're in good company. Most buyers are financing their purchases, too.

The takeaway? Don't make assumptions about what's possible based on how other people are buying homes. What really matters is your equity, your budget, and what’s happening in your local market.

Bottom Line

Cash buyers are a meaningful part of today’s market, but they aren’t the whole market.

Whether you’re hoping to put your equity to work or you’re buying with a mortgage, let’s look at how much equity you have and who’s buying in your area, so you know what your next move could look like.

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1816 SW 18th Avenue, Unit #1 - $319,000!